A.K.KAYUMOV, A.M.SHOMAKHMADOV, M.T.SAFAROV
ANALYSIS OF WEATHER CONDITIONS AND THEIR RELATIONSHIP WITH THE OCCURRENCE OF NATURAL DISASTERS IN TAJIKISTAN
State Scientific Institution “Center for the Study of Glaciers of the National Academy of Sciences of Tajikistan”
The purpose of this article is a qualitative and quantitative study of the relationship between natural disasters and changes in the main meteorological parameters.
The authors convincingly showed that at meteorological stations installed in the valleys, precipitation is either not recorded or it is insignificant, while in the highlands significant precipitation is recorded, large mudflows come down, which cause significant economic damage, and sometimes human casualties, as in 2021.
It was revealed that the process of air temperature change coincides with the occurrence of mudflows in glacier zones, and this process can be considered as a precursor of glacial mudflows and ordinary mudflows.
Key words: meteorological parameters, air temperature, precipitation, mudflows, correlation coefficient, spread of values of random variables, natural disasters, damage, loss of life.